Apple's Calendar Chaos Trade Of 2013
by Jason Schwarz
Apple's shifting product release cycle has created a high degree of investor uncertainty within the quarterly biased tradition of Wall Street. For a company that attracts more product release hype than any other in the history of planet earth, this shifting product release calendar has caused investors and analysts to be mislead regarding the true state of Apple's financial health. It's a phenomenon unique to Apple because no other company elicits the scope of product release volatility like Apple does. Especially in the most recent upgrade cycle to iPhone 5 in which Apple sold 47.8 million units in the holiday quarter, Apple has demonstrated a one-of-a-kind ability to generate product release hype that remains the envy of all its competition. Unfortunately for investors, this recent round of hype has not translated into stock returns. The shifting of the product release calendar and its uncertain effect on year over year quarterly earnings analysis has trumped all other stock moving variables. It's become more important than a p/e ratio. It's more important than analyst upgrades or downgrades. It's more important than Verizon's iPhone sales number. It's more important than being in tune with the hedge fund action that characterized all of those slingshot moves over the past three years. The hot new trade of 2013 is in sync with Apple's year over year calendar shifts. We like to call it calendar chaos. read more »
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